Site Overlay

Try the "Intercontinental Missile"

  A certain fact is that "Intercontinental Missile" will greatly improve India’s self-confidence. A more confidently even Yelang’s own India, which is generally possible to take a more tough position on the border issue. Zhu Cuiping reported that India successfully conducted a "fire-5"-type ballistic missile test on October 27th, the missile range of 5,000 kilometers, which can carry a nuclear warhead, which is currently the farthest release Missile. "’Fire-5′ realizes the deterrence of the confidence (which has the ability to implement it).

"This is a common sentence of news reports in India.

There is also a media claiming that this is "a strong signal" issued by China. "India Express" is even called this missile to combat "almost all China."

The newspaper also mentioned that in strict, "Fire-5" did not reach the standard line of Intercontinental Missile (ICBM) (at least the range of 5,500 km to be called InterCalline), but it is close to this standard.

Some people use the "Intercontinental Missile" to express "Afensive -5" in the analysis. There are also external observed people to clearly point out that the starting range of Intercontinental missiles is 8,000 kilometers, and the standards of "fire-5" are not moving in the "Fire-5" connection.

  Compared to "Fire-5", India’s strategic tactical thinking in the region and international game is actually more worthy of persistent in-depth exploration. Since the independence of traditional geopolitic thinking, the foreign strategic goals have been continuing the big country in the Nihru, in addition to consolidating the advantages of the South Asian continent, they also pursue strengthening the control of the Indian Ocean, and actively expand the influence to the Pacific Ocean. This goal is similar to that it has become a deep-rooted concept from the government to the folk.

India ‘s strategic thinking is both the mental motivation under its great dreams, and the "safety threat" constructed under the geopolitical imagination is inseparable. Affected by traditional geographical political thinking, although India has unique geographical advantages, there is a deep-rooted geographical insecurity, such as "safe threats" from the majority.

In fact, the current Indian Indian Ocean strategy is to build the "confident" deterrence to deal with the so-called "threats and challenges" from the big country, ensuring that the entire South Asian transaction is dominated by India, and India has become Indian Ocean. Safety providers continue to improve their influence in the Indian Ocean. Among India’s strategic thinking, developing InterContinental missiles are both a strong support for India to achieve big country ambition, which can lay a solid foundation for its constructing "credible" deterrence. This geopolitical imagination has somewhat has become a thinking of India.

And this geopolitical imagination has also become a major reason for India’s conflict in safety dilemmas and triggering regions.

"Line War" Thundero opened the second term, India self-confidence, self-confidence, but also fully deal with "two-wire war" from China and Pakistan, but also has a small-scale conflict in a region, The so-called "line war" in India.

  On the one hand, the boundary issue has always been a major obstacle to China and India.

In recent years, India has believed that the international environment is beneficial. It is a good opportunity to promote the boundary issue to the development of the border. Therefore, he will continue to test the China bottom line on the issue of China-Indian border, but it will eventually not reach its expected goals, but because "touch nails" Increased the inner hostility.

  The successful test shooting "Fire-5", making India’s self-confidence self-confident self-confident "credible" deterrence, and even "chips" forced the Chinese side on border issues.

"India Times" pointed out that "the successful test of" Fire-5 ‘"has laid in military confrontation with China, and India issued strong strategic signals from China, and the northern end of China will be included in the hit range. "On the other hand, the west side of India is the enemy Pakistan, and the two sides have had three large-scale wars since independence.

After India canceled the special status of India in August 2019, it was more worried about the security threat from Pakistan.

Since August this year, Afghan situation has been "changing the sky" and has exacerbated India’s concerns. On the one hand, India describes the so-called threats from Pakistan and China in terms of "two-wire war" and responds with "credible" deterrence. On the other hand, it hopes that China Pakist can help it crack the Difficulties brought by Afghan.

This kind of thinking is a practical, but in any case, it is prepared for the "two-wire war". It is the largest driving force for India’s non-fissed force to improve the ability of defense. It is also an important reason for the continuous deepening of the military cooperation in India. "Chicken Neck" thinking has always been, India is quite worried that its country is only 22 kilometers, called "Chicken Neck", the vulnerability of the Corrillate of the Celet Neck.

In 2017, the printing party provokes after the conflict between the Donglang area and the Chinese, the "chicken neck" may be a "sharp knife" one day, becoming the "madness" Indian "Uneer" in China, thus making India in terns The directional strategy is more passive and may result in a strategic situation that is not conducive to the printing parties on Kashmir issues.

  India’s concern is itself a typical "chicken neck" thinking. This thinking, directly leading to the confrontation of China-printing for 73 days. India’s "chicken neck" thinking also gave birth to a strategic choice to develop nuclear weapons to respond to safety dilemmas. Since the 1960s, India’s strategists have continuously encouraged to develop nuclear weapons to fight China. After more than 30 years later, India carefully did not mention "Coping China to Coping China".

Until 1998, India has been a nuclear test of India, which is a nuclear test of India, and opened India. India has always used China as a chasing goal, and its policies are full of alert and prevention. But the more changing the gap, the greater the reality and embarrassment of the eye, the Indian strategist and policy elites further enlarged the hostility of China and continuously showing the hardship between China.

It is foreseeable that the so-called "confident" deterrence capabilities brought by "Intercontinental Missile" will further increase India’s hard work. True tiger or paper tiger? On the surface, "Intercontinental Missile" successfully tests may become a "good medicine" of India’s safety anxiety, but in fact, this will not only solve India’s safety worries, but because it may have further deepened itself because it may exacerbate the regional armament competition Inseptless.

  According to the 1980s, it began to develop a fire series ballistic missile. From "fire -1" to "fire-5", the range increased from 700 kilometers to 5,000 kilometers, and the future will also develop a lot of warhead "fire-6" missiles. To make it a global strike capacity. At present, although "Fire-5" is a huge gap between the world’s first-class intercontinental missiles, whether it is an indicator design, engine technology or the body of the body, but it is undeniable that India has through the development of fire. Series ballistic missiles have prompted its national defense strength to increase, will will enhance its strategic confidence in land direction. Moreover, the harvest of Navy in India has also made no small progress in recent years. According to Indian media reports, India is expected to serve the second ballistic missile submarine "Trim" in 2022.

  Then, "Intercontinental missile" is successful, and can I really make a strategic deterrent to China? Is it true tiger or a paper tiger? A certain fact is that "Intercontinental Missile" will greatly improve India’s self-confidence.

A more confidently and even Niang Lang’s own India, which may be a more tough position on the border issue. When it does not meet the expected goals, they will find ways to jointly implement strategic pressure, invisibly increase the complexity of China-Indian relations. The probability that the conflict occurs.

Therefore, although there is no need to be too worried about "confident" deterrence capabilities of "Fire-5", India’s related moves should not really despise.

After all, let go of the true tiger or paper tiger, and the state is based on misunderstanding and untrust-based strategic deterrence. (The author is director, professor, deputy secretary-general of the Indian Ocean Regional Research Center, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Source: "Global" magazine published on November 17, 2021, licensed, other media If you need to reprint, please contact this issue. More articles, please pay attention to "Global" magazine Weibo, WeChat client: "Global Journal".